Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

All BIS publications (9)

BIS Working Paper No 1291 24 Sep 2025

Harnessing artificial intelligence for monitoring financial markets

Predicting financial market stress has long proven to be a largely elusive goal. Advances in artificial intelligence and…

Matteo Aquilina

,

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

and

Fernando Perez-Cruz

IFC Report No 18 28 Apr 2025

Governance and implementation of artificial intelligence in central banks

This report outlines the results of an IFC survey on the use of AI and ML at the end of 2024.

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

Olivier Sirello

,

and

Ricardo Villarreal Zan

BIS Working Paper No 1264 25 Apr 2025

Inflation cycles: evidence from international data

We introduce three complementary concepts of inflation cycles and measure them using long time series for multiple countries...

Alberto Americo

,

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

,

,

and

Christian Schmieder

BIS Working Paper No 1260 16 Apr 2025

Supply chain transmission of climate-related physical risks

How do climate anomalies affect GDP growth, and how do trade connections help understand this impact? We address these…

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

Fernando Linardi

and

BIS Working Paper No 1253 26 Mar 2025

Word2Prices: embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction

Word embeddings are vectors of real numbers associated with words, designed to capture semantic and syntactic similarity…

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

Fabio Alberto Comazzi

and

BIS Working Paper No 1181 26 Apr 2024

Synthetic controls with machine learning: application on the effect of labour deregulation on worker productivity in Brazil

Synthetic control methods are a data-driven way to calculate counterfactuals from control individuals for the estimation of…

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

BIS Bulletin No 84

BIS Bulletin No 84 23 Jan 2024

Artificial intelligence in central banking

Central banks have been early adopters of machine learning techniques for statistics, macro analysis, payment systems oversight…

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

Sebastian Doerr

,

Leonardo Gambacorta

and

BIS Working Paper No 1122 8 Sep 2023

gingado: a machine learning library focused on economics and finance

gingado is an open source Python library that offers a variety of convenience functions and objects to support usage of machine…

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

BIS Working Paper No 673 17 Nov 2017

Loan-to-value policy and housing finance: effects on constrained borrowers

This paper explores the effects on constrained borrowers of an LTV limit implemented on September 2013 on two major segments of…

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

João Barata R B Barroso

and

Rodrigo Barbone Gonzalez

All external publications (11)

External publication 9 Mar 2026

Unlocking the potential of data through data science: A view from central banks

,

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

,

and

Olivier Sirello

External publication 14 Feb 2026

Fast payments and banking: Costa Rica's SINPE Móvil

,

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

,

Allan Chinchilla

and

Andrea Oconitrillo

External publication 23 Oct 2025

Harnessing artificial intelligence for monitoring financial markets: early warning signals from interpretable machine learning

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

Matteo Aquilina

,

and

Fernando Perez-Cruz

External publication 3 Jul 2025

Central banks' experience in enhancing the access to and sharing of information through data science

,

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

,

and

Olivier Sirello

External publication 20 Jun 2025

The two faces of inflation: classifying high- and low-inflation regimes based on a century of data

By

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

Christian Schmieder

,

and

Alberto Americo

External publication 13 Jun 2025

Implementation and governance of artificial intelligence in central banks

,

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

Olivier Sirello

and

Ricardo Villarreal Zan

External publication 19 Mar 2025

Data science in economy and finance: a central bank perspective

By

,

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

,

and

External publication 18 Dec 2024

Word2Prices: Embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction

,

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

,

and

Fabio Alberto Comazzi

External publication 11 Mar 2024

Open-sourced central bank macroeconomic models

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

All podcasts (1)

00:14:53

Podcast 23 Jan 2024

Artificial intelligence in central banking

Central banks were early adopters of AI and machine learning. But as the world ramps up efforts to embrace new technologies,…

By

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo

and

Sebastian Doerr

0:00 0:00

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