Elmar Mertens

Former Senior Economist

Elmar joined the BIS in January 2017. Prior to joining the BIS he was an economist in the Monetary Affairs Division of the Federal Reserve Board, where he worked, among others, on monetary policy strategies and communication. Elmar holds a PhD from the University of Lausanne as well as an undergraduate degree from the University of St Gallen. During his graduate studies, Elmar worked as teaching assistant at the Swiss National Bank's Study Centre in Gerzensee.

All BIS publications (4)

BIS Working Paper No 715 17 Apr 2018

A time series model of interest rates with the effective lower bound

Modeling nominal interest rates requires their effective lower bound (ELB) to be taken into account. We propose a flexible time…

Benjamin K Johannsen

and

BIS Working Paper 4 Apr 2018

Online appendix to "Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: an evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility"

Online appendix to "Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: an evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility"

and

BIS Working Paper No 713 4 Apr 2018

Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: an evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility

This paper studies the joint dynamics of real-time U.S. inflation and average inflation predictions of the Survey of…

and

BIS Working Paper No 667 31 Oct 2017

Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors

We develop uncertainty measures for point forecasts from surveys such as the Survey of Professional Forecasters, Blue Chip, or…

,

Michael W McCracken

and

You might also be interested in

Publications

Speeches

Media releases