Back to the future: intellectual challenges for monetary policy

In this lecture, Claudio Borio focuses on the intellectual challenges for central banks, highlighting that facts on the ground are increasingly testing the long-standing analytical paradigms which central banks rely on to inform their policies.

The central banking community is facing major challenges – economic, intellectual and institutional. A key economic challenge is the need to rebuild room for policy manoeuvre, which has fallen drastically over time. This lecture focuses on the intellectual challenge, ie facts on the ground are increasingly testing the long-standing analytical paradigms on which central banks can rely to inform their policies. It argues that certain deeply held beliefs underpinning those paradigms can complicate the task of regaining policy headroom.