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Monetary policy and bank lending in a low interest rate environment: diminishing effectiveness?

Type
Publication
Series
BIS Working Paper 612
Date Published
27 February 2017
Sources
Bank for International Settlements
JEL Classification

This paper analyses the effectiveness of monetary policy on bank lending in a low interest rate environment. Based on a sample of 108 large international banks, our empirical analysis suggests that reductions in short-term interest rates are less effective in stimulating bank lending growth when rates reach a very low level. This result holds after controlling for business and financial cycle conditions and different bank-specific characteristics such as liquidity, capitalisation, funding costs, bank risk and income diversification. We find that the impact of low rates on the profitability of banks' traditional intermediation activity helps explain the subdued evolution of lending in the period 2010-14.


The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.