The dollar, bank leverage and the deviation from covered interest parity
We document the triangular relationship formed by the strength of the US dollar, cross-border bank lending in dollars and deviations from covered interest parity (CIP). A stronger dollar goes hand-in-hand with bigger deviations from CIP and contractions of cross-border bank lending in dollars. Differential sensitivity of CIP deviations to the strength of the dollar can explain cross-sectional variations in CIP arbitrage profits. We argue that underpinning the triangle is the role of the dollar as proxy for the shadow price of bank leverage.
- Addendum to WP592 (5 December 2016)
The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.
