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International trade finance and the cost channel of monetary policy in open economies

Type
Publication
Series
BIS Working Paper 539
Date Published
22 January 2016
Sources
Bank for International Settlements
JEL Classification

This paper models the interaction between international trade finance and monetary policy in open economies and shows that trade finance affects the propagation mechanism of all macroeconomic shocks that are identified to be drivers of business cycles in advanced economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques using output, price and bilateral trade data from the US and the Eurozone. The estimation exercise shows that trade finance conditions, which in turn are driven by US interest rates, are critical in explaining economic fluctuations. Quantitatively, trade finance has a larger impact on spillover effects of shocks to foreign countries, implying that incorporation of trade finance is particularly important when modeling small open economies.

Keywords: Trade Finance, monetary policy, DSGE


The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.