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Cyclical macroeconomic policy, financial regulation and economic growth

Type
Publication
Series
BIS Working Paper 434
Date Published
20 December 2013
Sources
Bank for International Settlements
JEL Classification

This paper investigates the effect of cyclical macroeconomic policy and financial sector characteristics on growth. Using cross-country, cross-industry OECD data, it yields two main findings. First, countercyclical fiscal and monetary policies foster growth disproportionately in more credit/liquidity-constrained industries. Second, while higher bank capital ratios may contribute to reducing the benefit of a countercyclical monetary policy, countercyclical credit enhances growth disproportionately in more credit/liquidity-constrained industries and this complements the growth effects of countercyclical monetary policy. Raising regulatory requirements for bank capital can therefore help achieve financial stability and preserve economic growth if complemented with more countercyclical macroeconomic and regulatory policy.


The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.