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Can non-interest rate policies stabilise housing markets? Evidence from a panel of 57 economies

Type
Publication
Series
BIS Working Paper 433
Date Published
15 November 2013
Sources
Bank for International Settlements Asia Office
JEL Classification

Using data from 57 countries spanning more than three decades, this paper investigates the effectiveness of nine non-interest rate policy tools, including macroprudential measures, in stabilising house prices and housing credit. In conventional panel regressions, housing credit growth is significantly affected by changes in the maximum debt-service-to-income (DSTI) ratio, the maximum loan-to-value ratio, limits on exposure to the housing sector and housing-related taxes. But only the DSTI ratio limit has a significant effect on housing credit growth when we use mean group and panel event study methods. Among the policies considered, a change in housing-related taxes is the only policy tool with a discernible impact on house price appreciation.


The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.