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Capital Flows and the Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy

Type
Publication
Series
BIS Working Paper 400
Date Published
18 December 2012
Sources
Bank for International Settlements
JEL Classification

This paper examines the relationship between low interests maintained by advanced economy central banks and credit booms in emerging economies. In a model with crossborder banking, low funding rates increase credit supply, but the initial shock is amplified through the "risk-taking channel" of monetary policy where greater risk-taking interacts with dampened measured risks that are driven by currency appreciation to create a feedback loop. In an empirical investigation using VAR analysis, we find that expectations of lower short-term rates dampen measured risks and stimulate cross-border banking sector capital flows.

 

 


The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.