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Estimation of speculative attack models: Mexico yet again

Type
Publication
Series
BIS Working Paper 36
Date Published
01 August 1996
Sources
Bank for International Settlements

An amalgamation of standard speculative attack models is applied to Mexican
exchange rate regimes over the past twenty years. The paper develops the first
simultaneous (non-iterative) estimator for speculative attack models. Particular
attention is paid to the December 1994 devaluation of the peso. Estimation
results for the recent devaluation are a disappointment, less so for earlier
periods when the assumptions of the model are more appropriate.


The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.