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The evolving renminbi regime and implications for Asian currency stability

Type
Publication
Series
BIS Working Paper 321
Date Published
27 September 2010
Sources
Bank for International Settlements Asia Office
JEL Classification

Abstract:

The Chinese authorities described the management of the renminbi after its 2005 unpegging from the US dollar as involving a basket of trading partner currencies. Outside analysts have detected few signs of such management. We find that, in the two years from mid-2006 to mid-2008, the renminbi strengthened gradually against trading partners' currencies within a narrow band. In mid-2008, the financial crisis interrupted this experiment and the bilateral renminbi/dollar exchange rate stabilised at 6.8. The 2006-08 experience suggests that a shared policy of gradual nominal effective appreciation renders East Asian currencies quite stable against one another. Such a shared policy would create favourable conditions for regional monetary cooperation.


The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.