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Financial arrangements, 'soft' budget constraints and inflation: lessons from the Yugoslav experience

Type
Publication
Series
BIS Working Paper 15
Date Published
01 November 1990
Sources
Bank for International Settlements

Abstract:

This paper explores primarily how financial arrangements may be responsible for creating or exacerbating inflationary pressures in Yugoslavia. The ways in which financial arrangements can contribute to inflation are discussed under three different headings: misallocation of savings and credit, failure to enforce financial discipline and accommodation by the monetary authorities. Ultimately, however, these are to a significant extent manifestations of the same phenomenon. They describe a situation where resources can be obtained without adequate screening and monitoring, where their apparent cost does not reflect their scarcity value, where agents are capable of shifting the costs of economic failure on to the "government", where, therefore, there do not exist proper mechanisms for discriminating between productive and unproductive economic behaviour. Under these conditions, not only can inflation be generated or perpetuated, but traditional measures of government transfers and related monetary financing lose much of their significance.

 


The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.