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09 December 2002

BIS Quarterly Review, December 2002

Overview: expectant markets stage a recovery

A revival of confidence ended six months of deepening pessimism in financial markets. The period from May to September 2002 had been marked by a series of blows to investor confidence. As a consequence, stock prices had tumbled and long-term interest rates had steadily declined. In October, a few favourable corporate earnings reports seemed enough to turn investor sentiment around. Over seven weeks in October and November, stock prices began to recover and long rates to rise. However, negative profit warnings continued to outnumber positive ones, and macroeconomic data initially tended to be weak. Whether the market recovery is sustained remains to be seen.

International banking and financial market developments

Special features

Recent initiatives

The views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS member central banks.

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