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Housing costs: a final hurdle in the last mile of disinflation?

Type
Publication
Series
BIS Bulletin 89
Date Published
15 July 2024
Sources
Bank for International Settlements

Key takeaways

  • Inflation receded from recent peaks, but housing cost growth remains elevated. This strength reflects pandemic-induced changes in housing supply and demand which further aggravated existing pressures from long-standing housing shortages and demographic trends.
  • Strong growth of the housing component of inflation can be a concern for monetary policy because it tends to be more persistent than components related to other  services and goods, reflecting lags in measurement and infrequent changes in rents.
  • In the short term, rents and housing costs may rise after a monetary policy tightening if landlords pass higher financing costs to tenants, property developers reduce new supply or more households opt to rent rather than buy.

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Podcast 30 Sep 2024
Housing costs

Deniz Igan explains the drivers and implications of the strong growth of housing costs despite a decline in inflation. 

Read the BIS Bulletin for more: Housing costs: a final hurdle in the last mile of disinflation?

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The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.