Annual Economic Report 2018 - Statistics associated with the graphs

Series description is to be found in the corresponding graph, that is linked in the right side column.

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Graphs

 
Editorial: data behind the graph (xlsx)  
E.1 The global economy strengthens further as inflation converges p x
E.2 Global debt continues to rise p xi
E.3 Narrowing room for policy manoeuvre and waning structural reforms p xiv
     
Chapter I: data behind the graph (xlsx)  
I.1 GDP growth improves, investment strengthens and unemployment declines p 2
I.2 Inflation remains low and wage growth subdued p 3
I.3 Global financial conditions remain very easy in 2018 and early 2018 p 5
I.4 A stronger dollar puts vulnerable EMEs under pressure p 6
I.5 Stock market valuations remain stretched p 7
I.6 The near-term outlook for growth and inflation is positive for most countries p 8
I.A.1 Recovery carries more momentum at this late stage in the cycle than in the past p 10
I.A.2 Main components of domestic demand contributing to late-cycle strength p 11
I.A.3 Consumer confidence and business conditions suggest more momentum in the pipeline p 11
I.B.1 The evolution around peaks in the business cycle in advanced economies p 14
I.B.2 Financial cycles p 15
I.7 The financial cycle supports growth in advanced economies p 16
I.8 Areas of vulnerability: commercial property, household debt and EME dollar debt p 17
I.9 Vulnerability of debt service ratios to rising rates varies by country p 19
     
Chapter II: data behind the graphs (xlsx)  
II.1 An asynchronous policy normalisation p 26
II.2 Low policy rates and large central bank balance sheets worldwide p 27
II.3 A tightening paradox? p 29
II.4 Factors offsetting monetary tightening p 30
II.5 Central bank asset purchases weigh on long-term interest rates p 31
II.6 The current tightening has been highly gradual and predictable p 32
II.7 The natural interest rate is measured with considerable uncertainty p 34
II.8 Higher debt raises vulnerabilities p 35
II.9 Global spillovers p 36
II.A Monetary and non-monetary determinants of the real interest rate p 39
     
Chapter III: data behind the graphs (xlsx)  
III.1 Unsustainable risk-taking required decisive post-crisis adjustments by banks p 44
III.2 Basel III floors - addressing unwarranted RWA variability p 46
III.3 Implementation of new requirements and banks' adjustments are progressing p 47
III.A Banks' window-dressing through the lens of US repo markets p 49
III.4 Regulatory vs market-based metrics - resilience is up, but by how much? p 50
III.B Deciphering the recent surge in Libor-OIS spreads p 51
III.5 Bank credit risk and return-on-equity - further room for improvement p 52
III.C Price-to-book ratios (PBRs) are closely approximated by the valuation equation p 53
III.6 Exposure to valuation losses and concentration in asset management are rising p 55
III.D Fund flows and performance during recent episodes of rising long-term yields p 56
III.7 Hidden liquidity risks not covered by additional buffers? p 58
     
Chapter IV: data behind the graphs (xlsx)  
IV.1 Macroprudential orientation moves to the mainstream p 64
IV.2 Tightening actions are used more frequently as credit booms build up p 66
IV.3 Macroprudential institutions and powers p 71
IV.4 Direct effects of macroprudential measures on bank credit and house prices p 73
IV.5 Effects of targeted macroprudential tightening measures on other types of credit p 74
IV.B Sterilised FX intervention and domestic credit growth p 77
     
Chapter V: data behind the graphs (xlsx)  
V.4 Energy consumption and scaling issues p 99
V.5 Transaction fees over time and in relation to transaction throughput p 100
V.6 Volatility of select cryptocurrencies and number of cryptocurrencies p 101
V.7 Mining concentration and bitcoin value during a temporary fork p 102
V.8 Indicators of the volume and cost of remittances p 104
V.9 The shutdown of an illegal marketplace and the legitimacy of ICOs p 107
     

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