Fabio Panetta: The struggle to reshape the international monetary system - slow- and fast-moving processes

Text of the 2025 Whitaker Lecture by Mr Fabio Panetta, Governor of the Bank of Italy, at the Central Bank of Ireland, Dublin, 9 December 2025.

The views expressed in this speech are those of the speaker and not the view of the BIS.

Central bank speech  | 
16 December 2025

Introduction

I wish to thank the Central Bank of Ireland and Governor Makhlouf for the invitation. It is a privilege to be here, in an institution that still carries the intellectual imprint of Thomas K. Whitaker. His conviction that economic policy must be adaptable, pragmatic and forward-looking remains a powerful guide - even more so today, as we navigate a global environment marked by uncertainty, fragmentation and rapid change.

The topic I will address today - the transformation of the international monetary system (IMS) - has taken on renewed relevance. On April 2, the United States announced the steepest tariff increase since the Great Depression. Markets sold off worldwide and - unusually for a risk-off episode - the dollar weakened. This event was a signal that the dollar-centered order might be subject to closer scrutiny going forward.

As Daniel Kahneman taught us, some processes move slowly, others suddenly and fast - and today's monetary order is being shaped by both.

Slow-moving processes - the rise of major emerging economies, the United States' twin-debt dynamics, and the rebalancing of economic and political weight - are resetting the structure of the global economy.

Fast-moving processes - above all, technology - are transforming how value moves across borders. Innovations such as distributed-ledger technologies and the tokenization of financial instruments are reshaping money and payments, bringing greater efficiency but also novel risks.

The views expressed in this speech are those of the speaker and do not necessarily reflect those of the BIS.