Financial channel implications of a weaker dollar for emerging market

BIS Bulletin  |  No 114  | 
13 October 2025

Key takeaways 

  • The depreciation of the US dollar in 2025 has occurred against the backdrop of continued resilience of trade and economic activity in emerging market economies (EMEs).
  • A depreciating dollar affects both borrowers' and foreign investors' balance sheets and tends to loosen financial conditions in EMEs through the risk-taking channel of exchange rates.
  • As EMEs have increasingly become net creditors to the rest of the world, the currency hedging behaviour of EME investors has played a greater role in currency market dynamics in 2025.
The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the BIS.