Estimation of speculative attack models: Mexico yet again

BIS Working Papers  |  No 36  | 
01 August 1996
An amalgamation of standard speculative attack models is applied to Mexican exchange rate regimes over the past twenty years. The paper develops the first simultaneous (non-iterative) estimator for speculative attack models. Particular attention is paid to the December 1994 devaluation of the peso. Estimation results for the recent devaluation are a disappointment, less so for earlier periods when the assumptions of the model are more appropriate.

The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the BIS.