Central bank research hub - Series: Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Working Papers

Papers by year: All | 2019 | 2018 | 2017

Facts on Business Dynamism in Turkey

by Fatih Yılmaz , Seyit Mümin Cılasun , Ufuk Akçiğit , Elif Özcan Tok and Yusuf Emre Akgündüz

Paper: 1930, 01.09.2019

JEL: E22, E25, L12, O31, O33, O34
Monitoring and Forecasting Cyclical Dynamics in Bank Credits: Evidence from Turkish Banking Sector

by Mehmet Selman Çolak , İbrahim Ethem Güney , Muhammed Hasan Yılmaz and Ahmet Şenol

Paper: 1929, 01.09.2019

JEL: C38, C53, E51, G21
Intraday Volume-Volatility Nexus in the FX Markets: Evidence from an Emerging Market

by Süleyman Serdengeçti and Ahmet Şensoy

Paper: 1928, 01.09.2019

JEL: D49, G12, G15
Is There Asymmetry between GDP and Labor Market Variables in Turkey under Okun's Law?

by Ayşe Arzu Yavuz and Evren Erdoğan Coşar

Paper: 1927, 01.09.2019

JEL: C22, E24, E32
Composing High-Frequency Financial Conditions Index and Implications for Economic Activity

by Muhammed Hasan Yılmaz , Abdullah Kazdal and Halil İbrahim Korkmaz

Paper: 1926, 01.09.2019

JEL: E17, E44, E66, G10
A Bayesian VAR Approach to Short-Term Inflation Forecasting

by Fethi Öğünç

Paper: 1925, 01.08.2019

JEL: C51, C52, E37
Two and a Half Million Syrian Refugees, Tasks and Capital Intensity

by Huzeyfe Torun and Yusuf Emre Akgündüz

Paper: 1923, 01.08.2019

JEL: D24, F22, J21, J24
Estimates of Exchange Rate Pass-through with Product-level Data

by Emine Meltem Baştan , Ufuk Demiroğlu , Semih Tümen and Yusuf Emre Akgündüz

Paper: 1922, 01.08.2019

JEL: F14, F31, F41
Skill-Biased Occupation Growth

by Orhun Sevinç

Paper: 1921, 01.08.2019

JEL: J20, J24, J31, O33
An Analysis to Detect Exuberance and Implosion in Regional House Prices in Turkey

by Ufuk Demiroğlu , Evren Ceritoğlu , Aytül Ganioğlu and Seyit Mümin Cılasun

Paper: 1919, 01.08.2019

JEL: C22, G12, R21
A Trade-Based Misallocation Index

by Orhun Sevinç

Paper: 1918, 01.08.2019

JEL: F10, F14, O10
Exchange Rate Driven Balance Sheet Effect and Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies

by Can Kadırgan

Paper: 1916, 01.08.2019

JEL: E0, F0, F3
Invoicing Currency, Exchange Rate Pass-through and Value-Added Trade: An Emerging Country Case

by Hülya Saygılı

Paper: 1917, 01.08.2019

JEL: F1, F3, F4
Foreign Currency Debt and the Exchange Rate Pass-Through

by Mehmet Selman Çolak , Salih Fendoğlu and Yavuz Selim Hacıhasanoğlu

Paper: 1924, 01.08.2019

JEL: E31, F31
Impact of Minimum Wages on Exporters: Evidence From a Sharp Minimum Wage Increase in Turkey

by Altan Aldan , Yusuf Kenan Bağır , Huzeyfe Torun and Yusuf Emre Akgündüz

Paper: 1920, 01.08.2019

JEL: F14, J23, J38
Leverage Dynamics: Do Financial Development and Government Leverage Matter? Evidence from a Major Developing Economy

by İbrahim Yarba and Zehra Nuray Güner

Paper: 1915, 01.05.2019

JEL: G31, G38, H32, O16
Convergence in House Prices: Cross-Regional Evidence for Turkey

by Ünal Seven and Aytül Ganioğlu

Paper: 1914, 01.05.2019

JEL: C33, O18, R31
Global Liquidity and the Impairment of Local Monetary Policy Transmission

by Eda Gülşen , Josè-Luis Peydro and Salih Fendoğlu

Paper: 1913, 01.05.2019

JEL: E52, F30, G01, G15, G21
Measuring Inflation Uncertainty in Turkey

by Eda Gülşen and Hakan Kara

Paper: 1912, 01.05.2019

JEL: C53, E31, E37, E58
Macroprudential Policies, Persistence of Uncertainty and Leverage Dynamics: Evidence from a Major Developing Economy

by İbrahim Yarba and Zehra Nuray Güner

Paper: 1910, 01.05.2019

JEL: C23, D22, D81, G18, G32
The Evolution of Import Content of Production and Exports in Turkey: 2002-2017

by Okan Eren , Yasemin Erduman and Selçuk Gül

Paper: 1909, 01.05.2019

JEL: C67, D57, F14, L60
Exports, Imported Inputs, and Domestic Supply Networks

by Salih Fendoğlu and Yusuf Emre Akgündüz

Paper: 1908, 01.05.2019

JEL: D24, F14, F31
IGNORE in Turkish - Demographic Developments and Their Macroeconomic Impacts

by M. Koray Kalafatcılar

Paper: 1911, 01.05.2019

JEL: C61, E21, J11
Bargaining on Supply Chain Networks with Heterogeneous Valuations

by Elif Özcan Tok

Paper: 1907, 01.03.2019

JEL: C78, L14
Identifying Credit Supply Shocks in Turkey

by Tayyar Büyükbaşaran , Gökçe Karasoy Can and Hande Küçük

Paper: 1906, 01.02.2019

JEL: C11, C32, E52, F41
IGNORE in Turkish - Determinants of the Rise in Female Labor Force Participation: Identifying Cohort Effects

by Altan Aldan and Selcen Öztürk

Paper: 1905, 01.02.2019

JEL: J11, J21
A New Index Score for the Assessment of Firm Financial Risks

by Mehmet Selman Çolak

Paper: 1904, 01.02.2019

JEL: C18, C43, G30, G33
Estimation of FX Option Implied Density Functions: Nonparametric-Malz Approach

by Halil İbrahim Korkmaz , Doruk Küçüksaraç , Yiğit Onay and Ahmet Şenol

Paper: 1903, 01.02.2019

JEL: G13, G17
An Analysis on the Domestic Sales and Exports: A Dynamic Model for the Turkish Manufacturing Firms

by Selçuk Gül

Paper: 1902, 01.02.2019

JEL: C23, D22, F14
Tax Elasticity Estimates for Capital Stocks

by Fatih Yılmaz and Jean-François Wen

Paper: 1901, 01.01.2019

JEL: H25, H32
Explaining Exchange Rate Movements Using Yield Curves in Emerging Countries

by Murat Duran

Paper: 1820, 01.11.2018

JEL: E43, F31, F37
Real Exchange Rate Misalignment and Economic Growth : An Update

by Bülent Ulaşan

Paper: 1819, 01.11.2018

JEL: C31, F31, F43, O11, O41, O47
An Anatomy of a Sudden Stop and the Credit Supply Channel

by Steven Ongena and Salih Fendoğlu

Paper: 1818, 01.11.2018

JEL: E44, F34, F41
Dependence of "Fragile Five" and "Troubled Ten" Emerging Markets' Financial System to US Monetary Policy and Monetary Policy Uncertainty

by Meltem Gülenay Chadwick

Paper: 1817, 01.10.2018

JEL: C58, E52, G15
Measuring Financial Systemic Stress for Turkey: A Search for the Best Composite Indicator

by Hüseyin Öztürk and Meltem Gülenay Chadwick

Paper: 1816, 01.10.2018

JEL: C32, C43, C52
VAT Treatment of the Financial Services: Implications for the Real Economy

by Fatih Yılmaz and İsmail Baydur

Paper: 1815, 01.10.2018

JEL: G20, H21, H24, H25, H30
Net External Position, Financial Development, and Banking Crisis

by Aytül Ganioğlu

Paper: 1814, 01.10.2018

JEL: E44, F34, G15, H63
Transportation Mode Choice and International Fragmentation of Production: Evidence from a Developing Country

by Hülya Saygılı and Kemal Türkcan

Paper: 1813, 01.10.2018

JEL: H56, J21, J24
The Impact of Monetary Policy Stance, Financial Conditions, and the GFC on Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivity

by Selçuk Gül and Hüseyin Taştan

Paper: 1811, 01.07.2018

Abstract

JEL: C33, D92, E22
Inflation Dynamics in Turkey from a Bayesian Perspective

by Mustafa Utku Özmen , Çağrı Sarıkaya and Fethi Öğünç

Paper: 1810, 01.07.2018

Abstract

JEL: C11, C15, C32, E31
The Effect of Fed's Future Policy Expectations on Country Shares in Emerging Market Portfolio Flows

by Yasemin Erduman , Zelal Aktaş and Neslihan Kaya Ekşi

Paper: 1809, 14.03.2018

Abstract

JEL: E43, F32, F41, G11
Evolution of the University Wage Premium in Turkey : 2004-2015

by Okan Eren

Paper: 1808, 14.03.2018

Abstract

JEL: I21, J24, J31
Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output and Output Gap in Turkey

by Selen Andıç

Paper: 1807, 07.02.2018

Abstract

JEL: C51, E32, O40
Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy

by Evren Erdoğan Coşar and Saygın Şahinöz

Paper: 1806, 06.02.2018

Abstract

JEL: C22, C52, D81, E32
Forecasting Industrial Production and Inflation in Turkey with Factor Models

by Mahmut Günay

Paper: 1805, 05.02.2018

Abstract

JEL: C53, C55, E37
A Revised Direct Output Gap Measure for the Turkish Economy

by Evren Erdoğan Coşar

Paper: 1804, 04.02.2018

Abstract

JEL: C43, E32
Export Behavior of Turkish Manufacturing Firms Under Crises

by Aslıhan Atabek Demirhan and Hakan Ercan

Paper: 1802, 01.01.2018

JEL: C23, C25, F14, L25
Foreign Currency Borrowing, Exports and Firm Performance: Evidence from a Currency Crisis

by Paul Mizen , Cihan Yalçın , Spiros Bougheas , Hosung Lim and Simona Mateut

Paper: 1801, 01.01.2018

Abstract

JEL: F34, F41, G21, L25
The Empirical Content of Season-of-Birth Effects: An Investigation with Turkish Data

by Semih Tümen and Huzeyfe Torun

Paper: 1721, 01.12.2017

Abstract

JEL: I26, J13
Do Subsidized Export Loans Increase Exports?

by Huzeyfe Torun , Yusuf Emre Akgündüz and Süleyman Hilmi Kal

Paper: 1720, 01.12.2017

Abstract

JEL: E58, F13, F14, L25, O24
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