Michael T. Kiley - Central bank research hub

Papers by year: All | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2004 | 2003

The Global Equilibrium Real Interest Rate: Concepts, Estimates, and Challenges

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2019-076, 01.11.2019)

Monetary Policy Strategies for a Low-Rate Environment

by Ben S. Bernanke , John M. Roberts and Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2019-009, 01.02.2019)

JEL: E13, E52, E58, E61
Unemployment Risk

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2018-067, 28.09.2018)

JEL: E24, E32, E66
Some Implications of Uncertainty and Misperception for Monetary Policy

by James Hebden , Christopher J. Erceg , Michael T. Kiley , J. David López-Salido and Robert J. Tetlow

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2018-059, 23.08.2018)

JEL: C63, E31, E32, E52
What Macroeconomic Conditions Lead Financial Crises?

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2018-038, 15.06.2018)

JEL: E44, F32, G01
Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World

by John M. Roberts and Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2017-080, 10.08.2017)

JEL: E52, E58
Mapping Heat in the U.S. Financial System

by Michael G. Palumbo , Missaka N. Warusawitharana , Seung Lee , Michael T. Kiley and David Aikman

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2015-059, 04.08.2015)

Abstract

JEL: G01, G20, G21, G23, G28
Macroeconomic Effects of Banking Sector Losses across Structural Models

by Luca Guerrieri , Matteo Iacoviello , Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar , Jae W. Sim , Michael T. Kiley , Albert Queralto Olive , Francisco B. Covas and John C. Driscoll

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2015-044, 19.06.2015)

Abstract

JEL: E32, E44, E47
The Aggregate Demand Effects of Short- and Long-Term Interest Rates

by Michael T. Kiley

IJCB International Journal of Central Banking (Paper: 14q4a3, 01.12.2014)

Abstract

JEL: E43, E44, E50
The Aggregate Demand Effects of Short- and Long-Term Interest Rates

by Michael T. Kiley

IJCB International Journal of Central Banking (Paper: 14q4a3, 01.12.2014)

Abstract

JEL: E43, E44, E50
An Evaluation of the Inflationary Pressure Associated with Short- and Long-term Unemployment

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2014-28, 17.04.2014)

Abstract

JEL: E3
Policy Paradoxes in the New Keynesian Model

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2014-29, 17.04.2014)

Abstract

JEL: E31, E52, E62, E63
The Response of Equity Prices to Movements in Long-term Interest Rates Associated With Monetary Policy Statements: Before and After the Zero Lower Bound

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2013-15, 26.03.2013)

Abstract
Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy Statements, and Uncovered Interest Parity: Before and After the Zero Lower Bound

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2013-17, 26.03.2013)

Abstract
Monetary Policy Statements, Treasury Yields, and Private Yields: Before and After the Zero Lower Bound

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2013-16, 26.03.2013)

Abstract
Financial Capital and the Macroeconomy: Policy Considerations

by Jae W. Sim and Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2011-28, 18.05.2011)

Abstract
Financial Capital and the Macroeconomy: A Quantitative Framework

by Jae W. Sim and Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2011-27, 18.05.2011)

Abstract
Documentation of the Estimated, Dynamic, Optimization-based (EDO) Model of the U.S. Economy: 2010 Version

by Hess T. Chung , Jean-Philippe Laforte and Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2010-29, 14.05.2010)

Abstract
How Has the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Evolved Over Time?

by Frederic S. Mishkin , Jean Boivin and Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2010-26, 07.05.2010)

Abstract
Output Gaps

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2010-27, 07.05.2010)

Abstract

JEL: E32, O41
Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble

by Jinill Kim , Jane Dokko , Jae Sim , Brian Doyle , Michael T. Kiley , Shane M. Sherlund and Skander J. Van den Heuvel

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2009-49, 29.12.2009)

Abstract
Inflation Expectations, Uncertainty, the Phillips Curve, and Monetary Policy

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2009-15, 14.05.2009)

Abstract
A Comparison of Forecast Performance Between Federal Reserve Staff Forecasts, Simple Reduced-Form Models, and a DSGE Model

by Jean-Philippe Laforte , Rochelle M. Edge and Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2009-10, 17.03.2009)

Abstract
Estimating the common trend rate of inflation for consumer prices and consumer prices excluding food and energy prices

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2008-38, 23.08.2008)

Abstract
Monetary Policy Actions and Long-Run Inflation Expectations

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2008-03, 02.04.2008)

Abstract
Documentation of the Research and Statistics Division¿s Estimated DSGE Model of the U.S. Economy: 2006 Version

by Jean-Philippe Laforte , Rochelle M. Edge and Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2007-53, 25.10.2007)

Abstract
Habit Persistence, Non-separability Between Consumption and Leisure, or Rule-of-Thumb Consumers: Which Accounts for the Predictability of Consumption Growth?

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2007-48, 11.10.2007)

Abstract
Is Moderate-to-High Inflation Inherently Unstable?

by Michael T. Kiley

IJCB International Journal of Central Banking (Paper: 07q2a6, 01.06.2007)

Abstract

JEL: E3, E5
Natural Rate Measures in an Estimated DSGE Model of the U.S. Economy

by Jean-Philippe Laforte , Rochelle M. Edge and Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2007-08, 01.04.2007)

Abstract
A Quantitative Comparison of Sticky-Price and Sticky-Information Models of Price Setting

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2006-45, 20.12.2006)

Abstract

JEL: E3
Is Moderate-To-High Inflation Inherently Unstable?

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2004-43, 27.08.2004)

Abstract

JEL: E3, E5
How Should Unemployment Benefits Respond to the Business Cycle?

by Michael T. Kiley

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series (Paper: 2003-1, 12.03.2003)

Abstract

JEL: E24, J64, J65