Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Author-Name: Boris Hofmann
Author-X-Name-First: Boris
Author-X-Name-Last: Hofmann
Author-Name: Marco Jacopo Lombardi
Author-X-Name-First: Marco Jacopo
Author-X-Name-Last: Lombardi
Author-Name: Benoit Mojon
Author-X-Name-First: Benoit 
Author-X-Name-Last: Mojon
Author-Name: Athanasios Orphanides
Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios
Author-X-Name-Last: Orphanides
Title: Fiscal and monetary policy interactions in a low interest rate world
Abstract: We analyse fiscal and monetary policy interactions when interest rate policy is hampered by the zero lower bound (ZLB) in an environment where expectations are formed with perpetual learning. The ZLB induces a deterioration of economic performance and raises the risk of persistent low ation that can disanchor in ation expectations and lead to debt de ation. Systematic use of quantitative easing (QE) can partially substitute for interest rate easing and, if sufficiently aggressive, can maintain average in ation in line with the central bank's goal. By compressing term premia on longterm interest rates, QE creates fiscal space that facilitates expansionary fiscal policy and reduces debt-de ation risk. The ZLB can be counteracted with less aggressive QE if mildly negative policy rates are feasible, if more countercyclical fiscal policy can be activated, or if the central bank can credibly communicate a clear in ation goal. Timidity in implementing QE and excessively debt-averse fiscal policies are counterproductive.
Length: 51 pages
Creation-Date: 2021-07
File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work954.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf
File-Function: Full PDF document
File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work954.htm
File-Format: text/html
Number: 954
Keywords: zero lower bound, fiscal policy, debt de ation, quantitative easing, perpetual learning
Classification-JEL: E52, E58, E62, E63
Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:954