Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Emanuel Kohlscheen Author-X-Name-First: Emanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kohlscheen Author-Name: Richhild Moessner Author-X-Name-First: Richhild Author-X-Name-Last: Moessner Author-Name: Előd Takáts Author-X-Name-First: Előd Author-X-Name-Last: Takáts Title: Growth, coal and carbon emissions: economic overheating and climate change Abstract: We use a comprehensive database of 121 countries over the 1971-2016 period to study how macroeconomic factors drive carbon (carbon-dioxide) emissions. For this purpose, dynamic panel regressions are estimated. Carbon emissions rise with economic development, manufacturing activity, urbanization and increasingly with economic growth. In electricity generation, the use of coal, and to a lesser degree of oil, is associated with higher carbon emissions, while renewable energy use is already associated with lower national emissions in advanced economies. We also uncover a non-linearity: economic overheating is particularly harmful when coal use is more intensive. The results suggest that mitigating economic cycles might also reduce carbon emissions. Length: 23 pages Creation-Date: 2021-04 File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work937.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf File-Function: Full PDF document File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work937.htm File-Format: text/html Number: 937 Keywords: carbon dioxide, climate change, coal, emissions, energy, environment, growth, pollution, urbanisation Classification-JEL:O40, O44, Q00, Q40, Q50 Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:937