Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Mehrotra Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Mehrotra Author-Name: Richhild Moessner Author-X-Name-First: Richild Author-X-Name-Last: Moessner Author-Name: Chang Shu Author-X-Name_First: Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Title: Interest rate spillovers from the United States: expectations, term premia and macro-financial vulnerabilities Abstract: We analyse how movements in the components of sovereign bond yields in the United States affect long-term rates in 10 advanced and 21 emerging economies. The paper documents significant global spillovers from both the expectations and term premia components of long-term rates in the United States. We find that spillovers to domestic long-term rates in emerging economies from the US expectations components tend to be more sizeable than those from the US term premia. Finally, spillovers from US term premia are larger when an emerging economy displays greater macro-financial vulnerabilities. Length: 17 pages Creation-Date: 2019-09 File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work814.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf File-Function: Full PDF document File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work814.htm File-Format: text/html Number: 814 Classification-JEL: E52, E43, F42, F65 Keywords: interest rate spillovers, term premia, emerging economies Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:814