Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: John Caparusso Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Caparusso Author-Name: Leonardo Ulf Lewrick Author-X-Name-First: Ulf Author-X-Name-Last: Lewrick Author-Name: Nikola Tarashev Author-X-Name-First: Nikola Author-X-Name-Last: Tarashev Title: Profitability, valuation and resilience of global banks - a tight link Abstract: We derive a tight link between the profitability, valuation and resilience of global systemically important banks (G-SIBs). We measure profitability using return on equity (ROE), valuation with the price-to-book ratio and resilience through the capital headroom above regulatory requirements ("management buffer"). We find that price-to-book ratios increase in analysts' ROE forecasts and in banks' management buffers. We also document that low-valued G-SIBs maintain management buffers by reducing risk-weighted assets and cater to investors by paying out their entire profits. However, the resilience of low-valued G-SIBs could prove precarious as they frequently incur substantial losses that trigger significant negative stock-market reactions. Creation-Date: 2023-11 File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work1144.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf File-Function: Full PDF document File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work1144.htm File-Format: text/html Number: 1144 Keywords: financial stability, price-to-book ratio, banking regulation Classification-JEL: G21, G28, C25 Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:1144