Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Rodney Garratt Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Garratt Author-Name: Maarten van Oordt Author-X-Name-First: Maarten Author-X-Name-Last: van Oordt Title: The Crypto Multiplier Abstract: The exchange rates of cryptocurrencies are highly volatile. This paper provides insight into the source of this volatility by developing the concept of a "crypto multiplier," which measures the equilibrium response of a cryptocurrency's market capitalization to aggregate inflows and outflows of investors' funds. The crypto multiplier takes high values when a large share of a cryptocurrency's coins is held as an investment rather than being used as a means of payment. Empirical evidence shows that the number of coins held for the purpose of making payments is rather small for major cryptocurrencies suggesting large crypto multipliers. The analysis explains why announcements by large investors, celebrity endorsements or financial crises can result in substantial price movements. Creation-Date: 2023-06 File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work1104.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf File-Function: Full PDF document File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/work1104.htm File-Format: text/html Number: 1104 Keywords: Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, exchange rates, monetary economics, risk management Classification-JEL: E42, E51 Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:1104