Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan Niladri Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: Aaron Mehrotra Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Mehrotra Author-Name: Fabrizio Zampolli Author-X-Name-First: Fabrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Zampolli Title: Inflation at risk from Covid-19 Abstract: The pandemic has increased downside tail risks in advanced economies (AEs), while it has increased both downside and upside tail risks in emerging market economies (EMEs). The collapse in output and oil prices, on balance, increases downside inflation risks. Recent exchange rate depreciations increase upside risks to inflation in EMEs. Tighter financial conditions raise both downside and upside risks. In AEs, the increase in downside risks is more prominent. Length: 9 pages Creation-Date: 2020-07-23 File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/bisbull28.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf File-Function: Full PDF document File-URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/bisbull28.htm File-Format: text/html Number: 28 Handle: RePEc:bis:bisblt:28