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Central Bank Research Hub - Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Papers



Measuring Changes in Firm-Level Volatility - An Application to Japan (JEL C33, D21, E23, E24)

by Emmanuel De Veirman and Andrew LevinDP2009/20
(Dec 2009)

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Whatever next? Export market choices of New Zealand firms (JEL D21, F10, L25)

by Richard Fabling, Arthur Grimes, and Lynda SandersonDP2009/19
(Dec 2009)

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Global shocks, economic growth and financial crises - 120 years of New Zealand experience (JEL G01)

by Michael D. Bordo, David Hargreaves, and Mizuho KidaDP2009/17
(Dec 2009)

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Structural Macro-Econometric Modelling in a Policy Environment (JEL B16, C50)

by Martin Fukac and Adrian PaganDP2009/16
(Dec 2009)

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Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty (JEL C32, C53, E37)

by Anthony Garratt, James Mitchell, and Shaun P. VaheyDP2009/15
(Dec 2009)

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Impulse Response Identification in DSGE Models (JEL C30, C52)

by Martin FukacDP2009/14
(Dec 2009)

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The "suite" smell of success- Complementary personnel practices and firm performance (JEL D21, L20, O31)

by Richard Fabling and Arthur GrimesDP2009/13
(Dec 2009)

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Forecasting New Zealand's economic growth using yield curve information

by Leo Krippner, and Leif Anders ThorsrudDP2009/18
(Nov 2009)

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A Quarterly Post-World War II Real GDP Series for New Zealand (JEL C22, C82, E01, E32)

by Viv B. Hall and C. John McDermottDP2009/12
(Nov 2009)

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A cobweb model of financial stability in New Zealand (JEL E32, E44, G01)

by Paul Bedford and Chris BloorDP2009/11
(Nov 2009)

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A theoretical foundation for the Nelson and Siegel class of yield curve models (JEL E43, G12)

by Leo KrippnerDP2009/10
(Sep 2009)

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Entrepreneurship and aggregate merchandise trade growth in New Zealand (JEL D21, F10, L25)

by Richard Fabling and Lynda SandersonDP2009/09
(Sep 2009)

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Evaluating a monetary business cycle model with unemployment for the euro area (JEL C51, C52, E32)

by Nicolas GroshennyDP2009/08
(Sep 2009)

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Developing stratified housing price measures for New Zealand (JEL G12, R31)

by Chris McDonald, Mark SmithDP2009/07
(Aug 2009)

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Analysing wage and price dynamics in New Zealand (JEL C32, E24, E31)

by Ashley Dunstan, Troy Matheson and Hamish PepperDP2009/06
(Jun 2009)

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Using wavelets to measure core inflation: the case in New Zealand (JEL C32, E31, E52, E58)

by David BaqaeeDP2009/05
(Jun 2009)

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Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: an application to New Zealand (JEL C33, C53, F47)

by Sandra Eickmeier and Tim NgDP2009/04
(Jun 2009)

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Order flow and exchange rate changes: A look at the NZD/USD and AUD/USD

by Nick SmythDP2009/03
(Apr 2009)
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Real-time conditional forecasts with Bayesian VARs: An application to New Zealand

by Chris Bloor and Troy MathesonDP2009/02
(Apr 2009)
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Revealing monetary policy preferences

by Christie SmithDP2009/01
(Apr 2009)
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2008

The evolution of the Forecasting and Policy System (FPS) at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand

by Felix Delbrück, Ashley Dunstan, David Hargreaves, Ashley Lienert, Hamish Pepper and Cath SleemanDP2008/19
(Dec 2008)
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Combining Forecast Densities from VARs and Uncertain Instabilities

by Anne Sofie Jore, James Mitchell and Shaun VaheyDP2008/18
(Dec 2008)
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Does natural rate variation matter? Evidence from New Zealand

by Michael KirkerDP2008/17
(Dec 2008)
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Inheritances and their impact on housing equity withdrawl

by Phil BriggsDP2008/16
(Dec 2008)
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Practical Monetary Policies

by Alfred V.Guender and David GillmoreDP2008/15
(Oct 2008)
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Over the hedge? Exporters' optimal and selective hedging choices

by Richard Fabling and Arthur GrimesDP2008/14
(Oct 2008)
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The relative size of New Zealand exchange rate and interest rate responses to news

by Andrew Coleman and ¨Ozer KaragedikliDP2008/12
(Sep 2008)
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Real-time Prediction with UK Monetary Aggregates in the Presence of Model Uncertainty

by Anthony Garratt, Gary Koop, Emi Mise and Shaun VaheyDP2008/13
(Sep 2008)
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Limited Information Estimation and Evaluation of DSGE models

by Martin Fukac and Adrian PaganDP2008/11
(Jul 2008)
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Incorporating judgement with DSGE models

by Jaromír Beneš, Andrew Binning and Kirdan LeesDP2008/10
(Jun 2008)
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Analysing shock transmission in a data-rich environment: A large BVAR for New Zealand

by Chris Bloor and Troy MathesonDP2008/09
(May 2008)
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A macro stress testing model with feedback effects

by Mizuho KidaDP2008/08
(May 2008)
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Heterogeneous Expectations, Adaptive Learning, and Forward-Looking Monetary Policy

by Martin FukacDP2008/07
(May 2008)
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The tax system and housing demand in New Zealand

by David HargreavesDP2008/06
(Feb 2008)
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How do Housing Wealth, Financial Wealth and Consumption Interact? Evidence from New Zealand

by Emmanuel De Veirman and Ashley DunstanDP2008/05
(Feb 2008)
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'Automatic' cycle-stabilising capital requirements: what can be achieved?

by Tim NgDP2008/04
(Feb 2008)
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Changes in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in New Zealand

by Aaron Drew, Özer Karagedikli, Rishab Sethi and Christie SmithDP2008/03
(Feb 2008)
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Explaining Movements in the NZ Dollar - Central Bank Communication and the Surprise Element in Monetary Policy?

by Özer Karagedikli and Pierre L SiklosDP2008/02
(Jan 2008)
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Some benefits of monetary policy transparency in New Zealand

by Aaron Drew and Özer KaragedikliDP2008/01
(Jan 2008)
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2007

RBCs and DSGEs: The Computational Approach to Business Cycle Theory and Evidence

by Ozer Karagedikli, Troy Matheson, Christie Smith and Shaun P. VaheyDP2007/15
(Nov 2007)
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Which nonlinearity in the Phillips curve? The absence of accelerating deflation in Japan

by Emmanuel De VeirmanDP2007/14
(Sep 2007)
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An analysis of the informational content of New Zealand data releases: the importance of business opinion surveys

by Troy MathesonDP2007/13
(Sep 2007)
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Housing markets and migration in New Zealand, 1962-2006

by Andrew Coleman and John Landon-LaneDP2007/12
(Sep 2007)
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Credit constraints and housing markets in New Zealand

by Andrew ColemanDP2007/11
(Jul 2007)
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Understanding the New Zealand current account: a structural approach

by Anella Munro and Rishab SethiDP2007/10
(Jul 2007)
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Local linear impulse responses for a small economy

by Alfred A. Haug and Christie SmithDP2007/09
(Apr 2007)
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The McKenna Rule and UK World War I Finance

by James M Nason and Shaun P VaheyDP2007/08
(Apr 2007)
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The pitfalls of estimating transactions costs from price data: evidence from trans-Atlantic gold-point arbitrage, 1886-1905

by Andrew ColemanDP2007/07
(Apr 2007)
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Conditioning and Hessians in analytical and numerical optimization - Some illustrations

by Christie SmithDP2007/06
(Apr 2007)
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A model of spatial arbitrage with transport capacity constraints and endogenous transport prices

by Andrew ColemanDP2007/05
(Mar 2007)
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Stylised facts about New Zealand business cycles

by Sharon McCawDP2007/04
(Mar 2007)
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Satisficing Solutions for New Zealand Monetary Policy

by Jacek Krawczyk and Rishab SethiDP2007/03
(Mar 2007)
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Nowcasting and predicting data revisions in real time using qualitative panel survey data

by Troy Matheson, James Mitchell and Brian SilverstoneDP2007/02
(Jan 2007)
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Open economy DSGE-VAR forecasting and policy analysis - head to head with the RBNZ published forecasts

by Kirdan Lees, Troy Matheson and Christie SmithDP2007/01
(Jan 2007)
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2006

The Present Value Model and New Zealand's current account

by Anella Munro and Rishab SethiDP2006/12
(Dec 2006)
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Assessing the fit of small open economy DSGEs

by Troy MathesonDP2006/11
(Dec 2006)
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A new core inflation indicator for New Zealand

by Domenico Giannone and Troy MathesonDP2006/10
(Dec 2006)
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Uncovering the Hit-list for Small Inflation Targeters: A Bayesian Structural Analysis

by Timothy Kam, Kirdan Lees and Philip LiuDP2006/09
(Nov 2006)
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What do robust policies look like for open economy inflation targeters? (JEL C51, E52, F41)

by Kirdan LeesDP2006/08
(Sep 2006)
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How costly is exchange rate stabilisation for an inflation targeter? The case of Australia (JEL C51, E52, F41)

by Mark Crosby, Tim Kam and Kirdan LeesDP2006/07
(Jul 2006)
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Family trusts: ownership, size, and their impact on measures of wealth and home ownership (JEL E01, E21)

by Phil BriggsDP2006/06
(Jul 2006)
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Should monetary policy attempt to reduce exchange rate volatility in New Zealand? (JEL E52, E58)

by Dominick StephensDP2006/05
(May 2006)
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Other stabilisation objectives within an inflation targeting regime: Some stochastic simulation experiments (JEL E52, E58, F47)

by James Twaddle; David Hargreaves; Tim HamptonDP2006/04
(May 2006)
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A Small New Keynesian Model of the New Zealand economy (JEL C15, C51, E12, E17)

by Philip LiuDP2006/03
(May 2006)
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Forecasting Substantial Data Revisions in the Presence of Model Uncertainty (JEL C11, C32, C53, E01)

by Anthony Garratt, Gary Koop and Shaun P. VaheyDP2006/02
(Feb 2006)
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Phillips curve forecasting in a small open economy (JEL C53, E31)

by Troy MathesonDP2006/01
(Feb 2006)
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2005

Discretionary Policy, Potential Output Uncertainty, and Optimal Learning (JEL E52)

by James YetmanDP2005/07
(Dec 2005)
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A Simple, Structural, and Empirical Model of the Antipodean Transmission Mechanism (JEL C11, C51, C52, E58)

by Thomas A LubikDP2005/06
(Dec 2005)
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UIP, Expectations and the Kiwi (JEL E52, E58, F31, F32)

by Anella MunroDP2005/05
(Oct 2005)
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Reaction functions in a small open economy: What role for non-traded inflation? (JEL C51, E52, F41)

by Ana Maria SantacreuDP2005/04
(Oct 2005)
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A happy "halfway-house"? Medium term inflation targeting in New Zealand (JEL E52, E58, E61)

by Sam Warburton and Kirdan LeesDP2005/03
(Oct 2005)
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Mind your Ps and Qs! Improving ARMA forecasts with RBC priors (JEL C11, C22, E37)

by Kirdan Lees and Troy MathesonDP2005/02
(Oct 2005)
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Factor model forecasts for New Zealand

by Troy MathesonDP2005/01
(May 2005)
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2004

Examining finite-sample problems in the application of cointegration tests for long-run bilateral exchange rates

by Angela HuangDP2004/08
(Oct 2004)
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A model of Equilibrium Exchange Rates for the New Zealand and Australian dollar

by Simon Wren-LewisDP2004/07
(Aug 2004)
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Improving implementation of inflation targeting in New Zealand: an investigation of the Reserve Bank's inflation errors

by Philip LiuDP2004/06
(Jul 2004)
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What can the Taylor rule tell us about a currency union between New Zealand and Australia?

by Nils Björksten, Arthur Grimes, Özer Karagedikli and Christopher PlantierDP2004/05
(Jun 2004)
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Estimates of the output gap in real time: how well have we been doing?

by Michael GraffDP2004/04
(May 2004)
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The equilibrium exchange rate according to PPP and UIP

by Dominick StephensDP2004/03
(Apr 2004)
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Do inflation targeting central banks behave asymmetrically? Evidence from Australia and New Zealand

by Özer Karagedikli and Kirdan LeesDP2004/02
(Apr 2004)
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Estimating a time varying neutral real interest rate for New Zealand

by Olivier Basdevant, Nils Björksten and Özer KaragedikliDP2004/01
(Feb 2004)
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2003

Speculative behaviour, debt default and contagion: A stylised framework of the Latin American Crisis 2001-2002

by Louise AllsoppDP2003/10
(Dec 2003)
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Monetary policy and the volatility of real exchange rates in New Zealand

by Ken WestDP2003/09
(Nov 2003)
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The stabilisation problem: the case of New Zealand

by Kirdan LeesDP2003/08
(Nov 2003)
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Has the rate of economic growth changed? Evidence and lessons for public policy

by Matthew ShapiroDP2003/07
(Aug 2003)
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Estimates of time-varying term premia for New Zealand and Australia

by Michael GordonDP2003/06
(Aug 2003)
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Learning process and rational expectations: an analysis using a small macroeconomic model for New Zealand

by Olivier BasdevantDP2003/05
(May 2003)
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Monetary policy transmission mechanisms and currency unions: A vector error correction approach to a Trans-Tasman currency union

by Alfred A Haug, Özer Karagedikli and Satish RanchhodDP2003/04
(May 2003)
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Modelling structural change: the case of New Zealand

by Olivier Basdevant and David HargreavesDP2003/03
(Apr 2003)
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On applications of state-space modelling in macroeconomics

by Olivier BasdevantDP2003/02
(Apr 2003)
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Financial deregulation and household indebtedness

by Leslie HullDP2003/01
(Jan 2003)
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2002

Currency Unions and Trade: Variations on Themes by Rose and Persson

by Dr Peter KenenDP2002/08
(Dec 2002)
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Currency unions and gravity models revisited

by Christie SmithDP2002/07
(Nov 2002)
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Estimating a Taylor Rule for New Zealand with a time-varying neutral real rate

by L Christopher Plantier and Dean ScrimgeourDP2002/06
(May 2002)
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Foreign-owned banks: Implication for New Zealand's financial stability

by Leslie HullDP2002/05
(Apr 2002)
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Extracting market expectations from option prices: an application to over-the-counter New Zealand dollar options

by Aron GerebenDP2002/04
(Apr 2002)
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Monetary policy and inflation forecasting with and without the output gap

by Weshah RazzakDP2002/03
(Mar 2002)
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Extracting expectations of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate from the bank-risk yield curve

by Leo KrippnerDP2002/01
(Mar 2002)
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2001

Modelling the long-run real effective exchange rate of the New Zealand Dollar

by Ronald MacDonaldDP2002/02
(Oct 2001)
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