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Central Bank Research Hub - Central Bank of Brazil Working Papers



Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regressions

by Wagner P. Gaglianone, Luiz Renato Lima and Oliver Linton161
(Feb 2008)
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Characterizing the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates

by Osmani T. Guillen and Benjamin M. Tabak158
(Feb 2008)
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2007

Is the Investment-Uncertainty Link Really Elusive? The Harmful Effects of Inflation Uncertainty in Brazil

by Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho157
(Dec 2007)
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Does Curvature Enhance Forecasting?

by Caio Almeida, Romeu Gomes, André Leite and José Vicente155
(Dec 2007)
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Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks in the Brazilian Market for Bank Reserves

by Adriana Soares Sales and Maria Tannuri-Pianto154
(Dec 2007)
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Demand for Foreign Exchange Derivatives in Brazil: Hedge or Speculation

by Fernando N. de Oliveira and Walter Novaes152
(Dec 2007)
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Building Confidence Intervals with Block Bootstraps for the Variance Ratio Test of Predictability

by Eduardo José Araújo Lima and Benjamin Miranda Tabak151
(Nov 2007)
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A Probabilistic Approach for Assessing the Significance of Contextual Variables in Nonparametric Frontier Models: an Application for Brazilian Banks

by Roberta Blass Staub and Geraldo da Silva e Souza150
(Oct 2007)
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Joint Validation of Credit Rating PDs under Default Correlation

by Ricardo Schechtman149
(Oct 2007)
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Explaining Bank Failures in Brazil: Micro, Macro and Contagion Effects (1994-1998)

by Adriana Soares Sales and Maria Eduarda Tannuri-Pianto147
(Oct 2007)
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The Stability-Concentration Relationship in the Brazilian Banking System (JEL G15, G21, O54)

by Benjamin Miranda Tabak, Solange Maria Guerra, Eduardo José Araújo Lima and Eui Jung Chang145
(Oct 2007)
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The Effect of Bid-Ask Prices on Brazilian Options Implied Volatility: A Case Study of Telemar Call Options

by Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo and Eduardo Facó Lemgruber144
(Oct 2007)
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Price Rigidity in Brazil: Evidence from CPI Micro Data

by Solange Gouvea143
(Sep 2007)
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Forecasting Bonds Yields in the Brazilian Fixed Income Market

by Jose Vicente and Benjamin M. Tabak141
(Aug 2007)
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Inflation Targeting, Credibility and Confidence Crises

by Rafael Santos and Aloisio Araujo140
(Aug 2007)
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Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features

by Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutiérrez, Reinaldo Castro Souza and Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén139
(Jun 2007)
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Forecasting Exchange Rate Density using Parametric Models: The Case of Brazil

by Marcos M. Abe, Eui J. Chang and Benjamin M. Tabak138
(May 2007)
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Monetary Policy Design under Competing Models of Inflation Persistence

by Solange Gouvea and Abhijit Sen Gupta137
(May 2007)
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Identifying Volatility Risk Premium from Fixed Income Asian Options

by Caio Ibsen R. Almeida and José Valentim M. Vicente136
(May 2007)
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Evaluation of Default Risk for The Brazilian Banking Sector

by Marcelo Y. Takami and Benjamin M. Tabak135
(May 2007)
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A New Proposal for Collection and Generation of Information on Financial Institutions' Risk: the case of derivatives

by Gilneu F. A. Vivan and Benjamin M. Tabak133
(Mar 2007)
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Credit Risk Monte Carlos Simulation Using Simplified Creditmetrics' Model: the joint use of importance sampling and descriptive sampling

by Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins and Eduardo Saliby132
(Mar 2007)
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Long-Range Dependence in Exchange Rates: the case of the European Monetary System

by Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, Benjamin M. Tabak and Daniel O. Cajueiro131
(Jan 2007)
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The role of banks in the Brazilian Interbank Market: Does bank type matter?

by Daniel O. Cajueiro and Benjamin M. Tabak130
(Jan 2007)
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Brazil: taming inflation expectations

by Afonso S. Bevilaqua, Mário Mesquita and André Minella129
(Jan 2007)
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2006

Term Structure Movements Implicit in Option Prices

by Carlos Ibsen R. Almeida and José Valentim M. Vicente128
(Dec 2006)
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Uma Investigação Baseada em Reamostragem sobre Requerimentos de Capital para Risco de Crédito no Brasil

by Ricardo Schechtman127
(Dec 2006)
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Risk Premium: Insights Over The Threshold

by José L. B. Fernandes, Augusto Hasman e Juan Ignacio Peña126
(Dec 2006)
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Herding Behavior by Equity Foreign Investors on Emerging Markets

by Barbara Alemanni e José Renato Haas Ornelas125
(Dec 2006)
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The Dynamic Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: evidence for Brazil

by Benjamin M. Tabak124
(Nov 2006)
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A Neoclassical Analysis of the Brazilian "Lost-Decades"

by Flávia Mourão Graminho123
(Nov 2006)
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Nonlinear Mechanisms of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through: a Phillips curve model with threshold for Brazil

by Arnildo da Silva Correa and André Minella122
(Nov 2006)
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The Role of Consumer's Risk Aversion on Price Redigity

by Sergio A. Lago Alves and Mirta N. S. Bugarin121
(Nov 2006)
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Forecasting Interest Rates: an application for Brazil

by Eduardo J. A. Lima, Felipe Luduvice and Benjamin M. Tabak120
(Oct 2006)
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Contagion, Bankruptcy and Social Welfare Analysis in a Financial Economy with Risk Regulation Constraint

by Aloísio P. Araújo and José Valentim M. Vicente118
(Oct 2006)
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An Analysis of Off-Site Supervision of Banks' Profitability, Risk and Capital Adequacy: a portfolio simulation approach applied to brazilian banks

by Theodore M. Barnhill, Marcos R. Souto and Benjamin M. Tabak117
(Sep 2006)
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Out-Of-The_Money Monte Carlo Simulation Option Pricing: the join use of Importance Sampling and Descriptive Sampling

by Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, Eduardo Saliby and Joséte Florencio do Santos116
(Sep 2006)
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Myopic Loss Aversion and House-Money Effect Overseas: an experimental approach

by José L. B. Fernandes, Juan Ignacio Peña and Benjamin M. Tabak115
(Sep 2006)
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The Inequality Channel of Monetary Transmission

by Marta Areosa and Waldyr Areosa114
(Aug 2006)
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Interdependence and Contagion: an Analysis of Information Transmission in Latin America's Stock Markets

by Angelo Marsiglia Fasolo112
(Jul 2006)
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The Recent Brazilian Disinflation Process and Costs

by Alexandre A. Tombini and Sergio A. Lago Alves109
(Jun 2006)
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Demand for Bank Services and Market Power in Brazilian Banking

by Márcio I. Nakane, Leonardo S. Alencar and Fabio Kanczuk107
(Jun 2006)
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Testing Nonlinearities Between Brazilian Exchange Rate and Inflation Volatilities

by Christiane R. Albuquerque and Marcelo S. Portugal106
(May 2006)
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Representing Roomates' Preferences with Symmetric Utilities

by José Álvaro Rodrigues Neto105
(Apr 2006)
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The Effect of Adverse Supply Shocks on Monetary Policy and Output

by Maria da Glória D. S. Araújo, Mirta Bugarin, Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos and Jose Ricardo C. Silva103
(Apr 2006)
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Judicial Risk and Credit Market Performance: Micro Evidence from Brazil Payroll Loans

by Ana Carla A. Costa and João M. P. de Mello102
(Apr 2006)
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Comparing equilibrium real interest rates: different approaches to measure Brazilian rates (JEL E43, F34)

by Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos and Márcio I. Nakane101
(Mar 2006)
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2005

Targets and Inflation Dynamics

by Sergio A. L. Alves and Waldyr D. Areosa100
(Oct 2005)
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Capital Flows Cycle: Stylized Facts and Empirical Evidences for Emerging Market Economies

by Helio Mori and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos098
(Aug 2005)
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Finance and the Business Cycle: a Kalman Filter Approach with Markov Switching

by Ryan A. Compton and Jose Ricardo da Costa e Silva097
(Aug 2005)
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Comment on Market Discipline and Monetary Policy by Carl Walsh

by Maurício S. Bugarin and Fabia A. de Carvalho095
(Apr 2005)
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Steady State Analysis of an Open Economy General Equilibrium Model for Brazil

by Mirta Noemí Sataka Bugarin, Roberto de Goes Ellery Jr., Victor Gomes Silva and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos092
(Apr 2005)
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2004

Credit Risk Measurement and the Regulation of Bank Capital and Provision Requirements in Brazil - A Corporate Analysis

by Ricardo Schechtman, Valéria Salomão Garcia, Sergio Mikio Koyama and Guilherme Cronemberger Parente091
(Dec 2004)
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Bank Privatization and Productivity: Evidence for Brazil

by Márcio I. Nakane and Daniela B. Weintraub090
(Dec 2004)
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Risk Premia for Emerging Markets Bonds: Evidence from Brazilian Government Debt, 1996-2002 (JEL E44, E62, F32, F34)

by André Soares Loureiro and Fernando de Holanda Barbosa085
(May 2004)
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Speculative Attacks on Debts and Optimum Currency Area: A Welfare Analysis (JEL F34, F36, F47, H63)

by Aloisio Araujo and Marcia Leon084
(May 2004)
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Does Inflation Targeting Reduce Inflation? An Analysis for the OECD Industrial Countries (JEL E42, E52, E58)

by Thomas Y. Wu083
(May 2004)
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Bank Competition, Agency Costs and the Performance of the Monetary Policy (JEL E44, E50, G21)

by Leonardo Soriano de Alencar and Márcio I. Nakane081
(Jan 2004)
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2003

Inflation Targeting in Brazil: Constructing Credibility under Exchange Rate Volatility (JEL E31, E52, E58)

by André Minella, Paulo Springer de Freitas, Ilan Goldfajn and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos077
(Jul 2003)
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Inflation Targeting in Emerging Market Economies (JEL E31, E52, E58)

by Arminio Fraga, Ilan Goldfajn and André Minella076
(Jun 2003)
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Brazil's Financial System: Resilience to Shocks, no Currency Substitution, but Struggling to Promote Growth (JEL G21, G28, O16)

by Ilan Goldfajn, Katherine Hennings and Hélio Mori075
(Jun 2003)
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On Shadow-Prices of Banks in Real-Time Gross Settlement Systems

by Rodrigo Andrés de Souza Peñaloza071
(Apr 2003)
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Monetary Policy Surprises and the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates (JEL E4, G1)

by Benjamin Miranda Tabak070
(Feb 2003)
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r-filters: a Hodrick-Prescott Filter Generalization (JEL C22, C52, E32)

by Fabio Araujo, Marta Baltar Moreira Areosa and José Alvaro Rodrigues Neto069
(Feb 2003)
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Real Balances in the Utility Function: Evidence for Brazil (JEL D91, E21, E49)

by Leonardo Soriano de Alencar and Márcio I. Nakane068
(Feb 2003)
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On the Information Content of Oil Future Prices (JEL C53, G14, G15)

by Benjamin Miranda Tabak065
(Feb 2003)
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Medium-Size Macroeconomic Model for the Brazilian Economy (JEL E12, E27, F43, F47)

by Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos and Sergio Afonso Lago Alves064
(Feb 2003)
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Optimal Monetary Rules: The Case of Brazil (JEL E43, E52)

by Charles Lima de Almeida, Marco Aurélio Peres, Geraldo da Silva e Souza and Benjamin Miranda Tabak063
(Feb 2003)
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2002

Delegated Portfolio Management

by Paulo Coutinho and Benjamin Miranda Tabak060
(Dec 2002)
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The Random Walk Hypothesis and the Behavior of Foreign Capital Portfolio Flows: the Brazilian Stock Market Case (JEL G14, G15)

by Benjamin Miranda Tabak058
(Dec 2002)
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Causality and Cointegration in Stock Markets: The Case of Latin America (JEL G15)

by Benjamin Miranda Tabak and Eduardo José Araújo Lima056
(Dec 2002)
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Stock Returns and Volatility (JEL C53, G10)

by Benjamin Miranda Tabak and Solange Maria Guerra054
(Nov 2002)
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Inflation Targeting in Brazil: Lessons and Challenges (JEL E31, E52, E58)

by André Minella, Paulo Springer de Freitas, Ilan Goldfajn and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos053
(Nov 2002)
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Generalized Hyperbolic Distributions and Brazilian Data (JEL C52, G10)

by José Fajardo and Aquiles Farias052
(Sep 2002)
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Credit Channel with Sovereign Credit Risk: an Empirical Test (JEL E44, E50, N16)

by Victorio Yi Tson Chu051
(Sep 2002)
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Macroeconomic Coordination and Inflation Targeting in a Two-Country Model (JEL E52, E61, F42)

by Eui Jung Chang, Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos and Joanílio Rodolpho Teixeira050
(Sep 2002)
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Should Government Smooth Exchange Rate Risk? (JEL F30, G28)

by Ilan Goldfajn and Marcos Antonio Silveira048
(Sep 2002)
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The Determinants of Bank Interest Spread in Brazil (JEL E43, E44, G21)

by Tarsila Segalla Afanasieff, Priscilla Maria Villa Lhacer and Márcio I. Nakane046
(Aug 2002)
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Optimal Monetary Policy, Gains from Commitment, and Inflation Persistence (JEL E31, E52)

by André Minella045
(Aug 2002)
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