Central Bank Research Hub - Series: European Central Bank Working papers 2003

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Title	Author(s)
Implicit tax co-ordination under repeated policy interactions Paper: 0259, 22.09.2003 JEL: E61, H87	Marco Catenaro Jean-Pierre Vidal
Macroeconomic modelling of monetary policy Paper: 0257, 22.09.2003 JEL: C12, E52	Matt Klaeffling
Interest rate reaction functions and the Taylor rule in the euro area Paper: 0258, 22.09.2003 JEL: C22, E52	Petra Gerlach-Kristen
Information acquisition and decision making in committees: a survey Paper: 0256, 10.09.2003 JEL: D71, E52	Kerstin Gerling
Bond market inflation expectations and longer-term trends in broad monetary growth and inflation in industrial countries, 1880-2001 Paper: 0253, 10.09.2003 JEL: E3, E50	William G. Dewald
Forecasting real GDP: what role for narrow money? Paper: 0254, 10.09.2003 JEL: E41, E52, E58	C. Brand
Is the demand for euro area M3 stable? Paper: 0255, 10.09.2003 JEL: C22, C32, E41	Annick Bruggeman
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set Paper: 0252, 19.08.2003 JEL: C32, C43, C82	Elena Angelini
Consumption Paper: 0251, 18.08.2003 JEL: D12, E21	Alpo Willman
Persistence Paper: 0250, 15.08.2003 JEL: E4, E5	Ignazio Angeloni
Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy? Paper: 0247, 15.08.2003 JEL: C32, C53, E31, E37	Kirstin Hubrich
Exchange rates and fundamentals Paper: 0248, 15.08.2003 JEL: F31, F37, G12, G15	Kenneth D. West Charles Engel
Trade advantages and specialisation dynamics in acceding countries Paper: 0249, 15.08.2003 JEL: E23, F14, F15	Andrea Zaghini
Public finances and long-term growth in Europe – evidence from a panel data analysis Paper: 0246, 31.07.2003 JEL: C22, C23, H11, O11	Rolf Strauch Diego Romero de Ávila
Money and payments: a modern perspective Paper: 0245, 28.07.2003 JEL: E40, E41, N10	Cyril Monnet Cornelia Holthausen
How does the ECB allot liquidity in its weekly main refinancing operations? A look at the empirical evidence Paper: 0244, 26.07.2003	Steen Ejerskov
Pass-through of external shocks to euro area inflation Paper: 0243, 23.07.2003 JEL: C32, E31	Elke Hahn
Public sector efficiency: an international comparison Paper: 0242, 05.07.2003 JEL: C14, H50	António Afonso
Maintaining price stability under free-floating: a fearless way out of the corner? Paper: 0241, 04.07.2003 JEL: E58, E63, F41	Carsten Detken Vítor Gaspar
Monetary policy transmission in the euro area: any changes after EMU? Paper: 0240, 01.07.2003 JEL: E43, E52, G21	Ignazio Angeloni Michael Ehrmann
Temporary shocks and unavoidable transitions to a high-unemployment regime Paper: 0239, 01.07.2003 JEL: C62, D50, E24, E62, J64	Wouter J. Denhaan
The impact of monetary union on trade prices Paper: 0238, 29.06.2003 JEL: D40, F15, F31	Robert Anderton
Growth expectations Paper: 0237, 23.06.2003 JEL: F32, F41, G15	Olli Castrén
The allocation of competencies in an international union: a positive analysis Paper: 0220, 23.06.2003 JEL: D72, F02, H77, P16	Michele Ruta
Estimating risk premia in money market rates Paper: 0221, 23.06.2003 JEL: C32, E43	Alain Durré
Inflation dynamics and subjective expectations in the United States Paper: 0222, 23.06.2003 JEL: E31	Mario Padula Klaus Adam
Optimal monetary policy with imperfect common knowledge Paper: 0223, 23.06.2003 JEL: D82, E31, E52	Klaus Adam
The central bank as a risk manager: quantifying and forecasting inflation risks Paper: 0226, 23.06.2003 JEL: C22, E31, E37, E52, E58	Lutz Kilian Simone Manganelli
Monetary policy in a low pass-through environment Paper: 0227, 23.06.2003 JEL: E32, E52, F41	Tommaso Monacelli
Monetary policy shocks - a nonfundamental look at the data Paper: 0228, 23.06.2003 JEL: C12, E52	Matt Klaeffing
How does the ECB target inflation? Paper: 0229, 23.06.2003 JEL: E52, E58	Paolo Surico
The euro area financial system: structure Paper: 0230, 23.06.2003 JEL: F36, G00	Philipp Hartmann
Price stability and monetary policy effectiveness when nominal interest rates are bounded at zero Paper: 0231, 23.06.2003 JEL: E31, E52, E58, E61	Günter Coenen
Describing the Fed's conduct with Taylor rules: is interest rate smoothing important? Paper: 0232, 23.06.2003 JEL: E4, E5	Efrem Castelnuovo
The natural real rate of interest in the euro area Paper: 0233, 23.06.2003	Nicola Giammarioli Natacha Valla
Unemployment Paper: 0234, 23.06.2003 JEL: C22, C23, E24	Miguel León-Ledesma Peter McAdam
Volatility of interest rates in the euro area: evidence from high frequency data Paper: 0235, 23.06.2003	Nuno Cassola Claudio Morana
Swiss monetary policy targeting 1974-1996: the role of internal policy analysis Paper: 0236, 23.06.2003 JEL: E31, E32, E41, E52, E58	Georg Rich
Extra-euro area manufacturing import prices and exchange rate pass-through Paper: 0219, 02.04.2003 JEL: D40, E30, F10, F31	Bob Anderton
Do demographic changes affect risk premiums? Evidence from international data Paper: 0208, 02.04.2003	Angela Maddaloni Andrew Ang
A framework for collateral risk control determination Paper: 0209, 02.04.2003 JEL: E50, E58, G10, G21	Didier Cossin
Anticipated Ramsey reforms and the uniform taxation principle: the role of international financial markets Paper: 0210, 02.04.2003 JEL: E52, E61, E63, F41	Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé Martín Uribe
Self-control and savings Paper: 0211, 02.04.2003	Jean-Pierre Vidal Philippe Michel
Modelling the implied probability of stock market movements Paper: 0212, 02.04.2003 JEL: C22, C51, G13, G15	Ernst Glatzer Martin Scheicher
Aggregation and euro area Phillips curves Paper: 0213, 02.04.2003 JEL: C52, C53, E24, J30	Julian Morgan Silvia Fabiani
On the selection of forecasting models Paper: 0214, 02.04.2003	Lutz Kilian Atsushi Inoue
Budget institutions and fiscal performance in Central and Eastern European countries Paper: 0215, 02.04.2003 JEL: D70, E60, H61, P20, P30	Holger Gleich
The admission of accession countries to an enlarged monetary union: a tentative assessment Paper: 0216, 02.04.2003 JEL: E52, E58, F33, F40	Roberto De Santis Michele Ca' Zorzi
The role of product market regulations in the process of structural change Paper: 0217, 02.04.2003 JEL: L5, O11, O41	Julián Messina
The zero-interest-rate bound and the role of the exchange rate for monetary policy in Japan Paper: 0218, 02.04.2003 JEL: E31, E52, E58, E61	Volker Wieland Günter Coenen

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